The favourite on Polymarket is Yes at 62%, followed by Spread -2.5 at 56% and O/U 52.5 at 50%.
O/U 54.5 moved the most this week: 52% to 44% (−7.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62% | 0.0 pts | +1.5 pts | $61k |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% | 0.0 pts | +4.0 pts | $1k |
| O/U 52.5 | 50% | +0.5 pts | −2.5 pts | $134k |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% | 0.0 pts | +2.0 pts | $1k |
| O/U 54.5 | 44% | +1.0 pts | −7.0 pts | $2k |
A price of 50% means traders pay $0.51 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| EdZachary | Yes · No | $29k | −$10k |
| Pwaddler | O/U 52.5 · Yes | $24k | −$942 |
| monkeymashingkeyboard | O/U 52.5 · No | $21k | +$512 |
| scootergene | O/U 52.5 · Yes | $17k | +$599 |
| 0x3dfb…abaf | O/U 52.5 · No | $15k | +$450 |
| bands1 | Yes · Yes | $12k | +$100 |
| THEdirkdiggler | O/U 52.5 · No | $12k | −$360 |
| TKD44 | Yes · Yes | $11k | +$90 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.