The favourite on Polymarket is Yes at 62%, followed by Spread -2.5 at 56% and O/U 44.5 at 48%.
Spread -2.5 moved the most this week: 50% to 56% (+6.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62% | −1.0 pts | +6.0 pts | $63k |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% | −0.5 pts | +6.5 pts | $11k |
| O/U 44.5 | 48% | −1.0 pts | −1.5 pts | $1k |
| Spread -3.5 | 46% | −0.5 pts | +1.0 pts | $10k |
| Spread -5.5 | 40% | −1.5 pts | +2.0 pts | $4k |
A price of 62% means traders pay $0.61 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| monkeymashingkeyboard | Yes · Yes | $15k | −$323 |
| monkeymashingkeyboard | Spread -2.5 · Yes | $6k | −$250 |
| HomeRunHazard | Spread -2.5 · No | $6k | −$1k |
| imjustkenisghey | Yes · No | $3k | −$1k |
| darkumbreon88 | Yes · Yes | $2k | −$16 |
| Multicoloured-Serf | Yes · No | $1k | −$546 |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -5.5 · Yes | $1k | −$63 |
| HomeRunHazard | Spread -5.5 · No | $1k | +$495 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.