The favourite on Polymarket is Chuck Schumer at 86%, followed by Chris Van Hollen at 10% and Brian Schatz at 4%.
Chuck Schumer moved the most this week: 60% to 86% (+25.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Schumer | 86% | +5.0 pts | +25.5 pts | $71k |
| Chris Van Hollen | 10% | −3.7 pts | +4.5 pts | $24k |
| Brian Schatz | 4% | −2.0 pts | −3.4 pts | $6k |
A price of 86% means traders pay $0.86 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| lug | Chuck Schumer · Yes | $10k | +$31 |
| de5nuts | Chuck Schumer · No | $10k | −$8k |
| 0x0c0e…434e | Chuck Schumer · Yes | $8k | −$10 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Chuck Schumer · No | $7k | −$7k |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | Chuck Schumer · Yes | $6k | −$83 |
| TheDao | Chuck Schumer · No | $6k | −$4k |
| supersmard | Chuck Schumer · No | $4k | −$3k |
| AnEggplant | Chuck Schumer · Yes | $4k | +$64 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.