The favourite on Polymarket is June 30, 2027 at 84%, followed by February 28, 2027 at 69% and December 31, 2026 at 50%.
December 31, 2026 moved the most this week: 23% to 50% (+27.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 84% | +8.0 pts | +19.0 pts | $18k |
| February 28, 2027 | 69% | +6.0 pts | +26.0 pts | $14k |
| December 31, 2026 | 50% | +20.5 pts | +27.0 pts | $27k |
| November 30, 2026 | 17% | +8.3 pts | +7.7 pts | $59k |
A price of 17% means traders pay $0.17 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | December 31, 2026 · No | $7k | +$3k |
| 0xf20f…b75f | November 30, 2026 · Yes | $2k | +$721 |
| dhadad01 | December 31, 2026 · Yes | $2k | +$690 |
| denizz | February 28, 2027 · Yes | $2k | +$474 |
| nnimrodd | December 31, 2026 · Yes | $2k | +$639 |
| NeLevak282 | December 31, 2026 · Yes | $2k | +$635 |
| 0x6bab…0fe5 | November 30, 2026 · No | $2k | +$7k |
| HolyMoses7 | February 28, 2027 · Yes | $1k | +$536 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.