The favourite on Polymarket is Su Chiao-hui at 61%, followed by Lee Shu-chuan at 40%.
Su Chiao-hui moved the most this week: 44% to 61% (+17.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Su Chiao-hui | 61% | +1.0 pts | +17.0 pts | $37k |
| Lee Shu-chuan | 40% | −0.5 pts | −16.5 pts | $35k |
A price of 61% means traders pay $0.61 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Su Chiao-hui · No | $29k | −$29k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Lee Shu-chuan · No | $19k | −$19k |
| Icepie | Su Chiao-hui · Yes | $7k | −$363 |
| dddmmm963 | Lee Shu-chuan · Yes | $7k | −$2k |
| JoeJoePowerRanger | Lee Shu-chuan · Yes | $3k | −$91 |
| 0xd0ad…b23e | Su Chiao-hui · Yes | $3k | +$981 |
| 0x85d3…ae6f | Su Chiao-hui · Yes | $3k | +$1k |
| 0xd0ad…b23e | Lee Shu-chuan · No | $2k | −$98 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.