The favourite on Polymarket is November 30 at 21%, followed by October 31 at 2%.
November 30 moved the most this week: 39% to 21% (−18.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 30 | 21% | −6.5 pts | −18.0 pts | $85k |
| October 31 | 2% | +0.9 pts | −3.7 pts | $11k |
A price of 21% means traders pay $0.21 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| willsom | November 30 · No | $721 | +$551 |
| eCash | November 30 · No | $578 | +$602 |
| eCash | October 31 · No | $325 | +$15k |
| MrMelonHead | November 30 · No | $227 | +$473 |
| Sdfghji | October 31 · No | $74 | +$2k |
| RdogTest | October 31 · No | $44 | +$2k |
| Everestpredictions | October 31 · No | $42 | +$2k |
| 080526 | October 31 · No | $37 | +$2k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.