The favourite on Polymarket is Barcelona at 68%, followed by Real Madrid at 26% and Atlético Madrid at 4%.
Real Madrid moved the most this week: 22% to 26% (+4.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona | 68% | 0.0 pts | −4.0 pts | $113k |
| Real Madrid | 26% | 0.0 pts | +4.0 pts | $32k |
| Atlético Madrid | 4% | 0.0 pts | +0.2 pts | $38k |
A price of 68% means traders pay $0.68 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Barcelona · No | $180k | −$180k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Real Madrid · No | $68k | −$68k |
| ndb1 | Barcelona · Yes | $61k | −$455 |
| Runner109 | Barcelona · Yes | $32k | −$2k |
| 0xf088…e6c4 | Barcelona · Yes | $27k | +$5k |
| ImBruceWayne | Barcelona · Yes | $15k | −$3k |
| Bigbadwolf1 | Real Madrid · Yes | $13k | −$10k |
| timebrotime | Barcelona · Yes | $12k | −$2k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.