The favourite on Polymarket is Athletic Club at 46%, followed by Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club) at 35% and Rayo Vallecano de Madrid at 26%.
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid moved the most this week: 32% to 26% (−6.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 46% | +0.5 pts | +1.0 pts | $4k |
| Draw (Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club) | 35% | 0.0 pts | +3.5 pts | $4k |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | 26% | 0.0 pts | −6.5 pts | $3k |
A price of 46% means traders pay $0.47 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| totoro3miyazaki | Athletic Club · Yes | $190k | +$28k |
| 0x709e…66f5 | Athletic Club · No | $42k | +$15k |
| Kyn008 | Athletic Club · No | $38k | +$13k |
| Kch-Temp | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · No | $25k | +$41k |
| 1l2ihj34li12u34 | Athletic Club · Yes | $22k | +$4k |
| Kyn008 | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · Yes | $15k | −$4k |
| 0x9f15…bdb3 | Athletic Club · No | $14k | +$4k |
| printmon | Athletic Club · No | $13k | +$4k |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.