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Geopolitics · Israel & Gaza

Fall Elections Combo: Brazil, Israel, US Senate

The favourite on Polymarket is Lula, Eizenkot, Dems at 62%, followed by Lula, Netanyahu, Dems at 17% and Lula, Bennett, Dems at 1%.

Lula, Eizenkot, Dems moved the most this week: 24% to 62% (+38.5 pts).

Open on the mapSee it on Polymarket

Chances now

New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean

OutcomeChance24 hours7 daysTraded, 7 days
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems62%−1.1 pts+38.5 pts$34k
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems17%−4.6 pts−21.5 pts$7k
Lula, Bennett, Dems1%−2.7 pts−2.8 pts$1k

A price of 62% means traders pay $0.62 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.

Key facts

Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve

Largest public holders

WalletHoldsValueUnrealised P&L
0x1380…7325Lula, Eizenkot, Dems · Yes$10k+$4k
0xa5ef…2966Lula, Eizenkot, Dems · No$7k−$7k
buoysLula, Eizenkot, Dems · Yes$4k+$2k
anoin123Lula, Eizenkot, Dems · No$3k−$284
i400Lula, Eizenkot, Dems · No$3k−$441
Lets-playLula, Eizenkot, Dems · No$3k−$131
0xa5ef…2966Lula, Netanyahu, Dems · No$2k−$2k
troimLula, Eizenkot, Dems · Yes$1k+$819

Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.