The favourite on Polymarket is Yes at 56%, followed by Spread -1.5 at 54% and Spread -2.5 at 52%.
Yes moved the most this week: 44% to 56% (+13.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56% | +11.0 pts | +13.0 pts | $47k |
| Spread -1.5 | 54% | +10.5 pts | +3.5 pts | $7k |
| Spread -2.5 | 52% | +11.5 pts | +2.5 pts | $14k |
| O/U 45.5 | 42% | −6.5 pts | −7.5 pts | $8k |
| Spread -2.5 | 39% | −11.5 pts | −11.0 pts | $4k |
A price of 56% means traders pay $0.56 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| bands1 | Yes · Yes | $18k | +$296 |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN | Yes · No | $11k | −$2k |
| nigiri99 | Yes · Yes | $4k | +$4 |
| pykue | Yes · No | $4k | −$727 |
| nigiri99 | Spread -2.5 · Yes | $3k | −$60 |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -1.5 · Yes | $3k | +$94 |
| mooseborzoi | Spread -2.5 · Yes | $3k | +$32 |
| ic4cream | O/U 45.5 · No | $2k | +$653 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.