The favourite on Polymarket is O/U 39.5 at 62%, followed by Yes at 50% and O/U 43.5 at 50%.
Spread -6.5 moved the most this week: 50% to 30% (−19.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 39.5 | 62% | +2.0 pts | +11.5 pts | $8k |
| Yes | 50% | −5.0 pts | −9.0 pts | $39k |
| O/U 43.5 | 50% | +2.0 pts | −0.5 pts | $10k |
| Spread -1.5 | 46% | −5.0 pts | −3.5 pts | $58k |
| Spread -6.5 | 30% | −7.0 pts | −19.5 pts | $689 |
A price of 46% means traders pay $0.47 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| FeedTheBigBird | Spread -1.5 · No | $23k | +$4k |
| FeedTheBigBird | Yes · No | $16k | +$383 |
| mooseborzoi | O/U 39.5 · Yes | $5k | +$62 |
| mooseborzoi | O/U 43.5 · Yes | $5k | +$11 |
| 0x9f15…bdb3 | Spread -1.5 · Yes | $4k | −$42 |
| VeryLucky888 | Yes · Yes | $3k | −$2 |
| imjustkenisghey | O/U 39.5 · No | $2k | −$860 |
| HomeRunHazard | Yes · Yes | $2k | −$24 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.