Traders on Polymarket see a 32% chance for “Bitcoin Up or Down on November 7”, down 19.0 points over the past week.
Over the past week the chance moved from 52% to 32% (−19.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 32% | −18.0 pts | −19.0 pts | $51k |
A price of 32% means traders pay $0.33 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sxc123.sxc | Yes | $3k | −$2k |
| lostgoy | No | $337 | +$61 |
| 0x0b62…dd93 | No | $264 | +$162 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.