The favourite on Polymarket is November 20 at 22%, followed by No IPO by November 30, 2026 at 20% and November 19 at 12%.
November 18 moved the most this week: 14% to 4% (−10.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 20 | 22% | +5.5 pts | +3.5 pts | $53k |
| No IPO by November 30, 2026 | 20% | −25.0 pts | −4.0 pts | $29k |
| November 19 | 12% | +3.8 pts | −2.7 pts | $16k |
| November 24 | 7% | +2.8 pts | +2.0 pts | $2k |
| November 18 | 4% | −2.0 pts | −10.0 pts | $7k |
A price of 22% means traders pay $0.21 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | November 20 · No | $602 | −$602 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | No IPO by November 30, 2026 · No | $574 | −$574 |
| balthazar | No IPO by November 30, 2026 · Yes | $516 | +$203 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | November 19 · No | $330 | −$330 |
| balthazar | November 20 · No | $282 | +$762 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | November 24 · No | $196 | −$196 |
| myfrenda | No IPO by November 30, 2026 · No | $142 | +$318 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | November 18 · No | $126 | −$126 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.