The favourite on Polymarket is Other at 65%, followed by JD Vance at 26% and Marco Rubio at 6%.
Other moved the most this week: 4% to 65% (+61.0 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 65% | +2.3 pts | +61.0 pts | $3k |
| JD Vance | 26% | −5.0 pts | −55.0 pts | $50k |
| Marco Rubio | 6% | +2.8 pts | +3.4 pts | $2k |
| Gavin Newsom | 3% | −0.1 pts | −1.0 pts | $2k |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 2% | −0.3 pts | −10.4 pts | $9k |
A price of 26% means traders pay $0.26 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | JD Vance · No | $3k | +$5k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Other · No | $1k | −$1k |
| smellyEllie | JD Vance · Yes | $1k | +$35 |
| Stonktrader | JD Vance · Yes | $750 | −$2k |
| smellyEllie | Other · Yes | $688 | −$45 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | JD Vance · No | $530 | −$530 |
| Nadmi | JD Vance · Yes | $521 | −$644 |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Marco Rubio · No | $122 | −$122 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.