The favourite on Polymarket is Kuomintang (KMT) at 74%, followed by Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) at 24%.
Kuomintang (KMT) moved the most this week: 71% to 74% (+2.5 pts).
New to this? How to read a market · What the odds mean
| Outcome | Chance | 24 hours | 7 days | Traded, 7 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuomintang (KMT) | 74% | +2.0 pts | +2.5 pts | $34k |
| Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) | 24% | −2.4 pts | +2.2 pts | $25k |
A price of 74% means traders pay $0.73 for a share that pays $1 if the outcome happens. It is the crowd's estimate, not a forecast by Nimb.
Volume and open interest, explained · How markets resolve
| Wallet | Holds | Value | Unrealised P&L |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Kuomintang (KMT) · No | $41k | −$41k |
| 0xa5ef…2966 | Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) · No | $13k | −$13k |
| Anymix | Kuomintang (KMT) · Yes | $10k | +$20 |
| alwaysOn | Kuomintang (KMT) · Yes | $9k | +$425 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Kuomintang (KMT) · Yes | $8k | −$872 |
| Andylow5 | Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) · Yes | $4k | −$1k |
| aoiaoiboo | Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) · Yes | $3k | +$197 |
| xxNyx | Kuomintang (KMT) · Yes | $3k | +$63 |
Wallets holding both sides of the same market are left out: their positions cancel and are not a bet. How to read holders.